BUILDING UP A PROSPECTIVE STUDY FOR THE WORLD OF TOMORROW.

Abstract

Prospecfive studies, avoiding strategic surprise and anficipafing the evolufions, are the aspirafion of a number of methodologies. Our arficle aims to make a reason and find the main factors that would influence the reassessment of the World Order of tomorrow based on a Romanian methodology of prospecfive studies. The level of ambifion is to separate the confinuity versus the dramafic change and to find the crifical indicators that are drawing the scenarios of the future, be they those of confinuity, of disconfinuity and black swan cases. Relafive certainfies are helping us draft the black swan scenarios of highly improbable but also enormous impact. The results and conclusions are bringing to the forefront both technology and malaises of democracy, together with a militarisfic epoch where the chance is to avoid kinefic wars through mifigafions and coping with the rivalries and power shifts in geopolifical capacity.