Browsing by Author "Stancea, Andreea"

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Date cantitative și calitative : introducere în metode și tehnici de analiză a datelor, cu aplicații în R, Stata, Excel și NVIVO
(Presa Universitara Clujeana, 2022) Muntean, Aurelian; Stancea, Andreea
This book is aimed at students of sociology, political science, communication, international relations, public administration, communication, journalism and management, as well as data users or consumers who prefer a user-friendly introduction to data analysis in the simplest possible language. The book presents theoretical foundations, focusing on the discussion of the use of statistical methods. We provide relatively few mathematical details, for the argumentation of which we will refer to other statistical textbooks, mainly in Romanian, to facilitate direct reading.
Electoral dynamics in the age of disinformation: Understanding Romanian voter support for nationalist populist parties in the 2024 elections
(SAGE Publications, 2025) Boțan, Mădălina; Ștefureac, Remus; Stancea, Andreea
This study looks at factors influencing voters' preference for nationalist populist parties in Romania that support closer ties with Russia. Using data from a national survey, we propose that factors like awareness of disinformation, social media use, trust in party leaders, and belief in conspiracy theories significantly affect voting choices. We test each of these factors with logistic regression analysis to see how much they contribute to predicting support for nationalist movements with pro-Russia stance.
European Elections and Financial Markets: Navigating Political Winds and Market Reactions
(Sciendo, 2024) Stancea, Andreea; Ciocîrlan, Cecilia; Despina, Adrian
A new wave of extreme right-wing political parties entered the European political scene both on the national levels and the European supra-governmental level sparking fears about the rule of law among investors and policymakers. The European Parliament’s elections scheduled for June 2024 are seen as a crucial turning point in the continent's political landscape. Using a mix of OLS regressions and event study, this paper analyzed how stock markets and bond markets reacted to European elections. The results show that the incumbent government's fiscal record appears to influence its re-election chances in developing countries and markets price weak fiscal balances around elections. The paper assessed how government bond markets reacted to the EP’s elections rounds of 2014 and 2019. These rounds of elections have been dominated by the political parties with cantered-orientated ideologies which may not be the case for the next round of elections in 2024. The results show how EP’s elections stabilized bond markets, especially in countries with weak macroeconomic fundamentals. The results emphasize the intricate relationship between fiscal policies, political events, and financial market behaviour. Investors, policymakers, and governments should consider these findings when assessing electoral and market dynamics, particularly in the context of the upcoming 2024 European Parliament elections.
European Financial Markets Integration and the Politics of Credit Rating Agencies: An Econometric Approach to Study Microeconomic Dynamics and Sustainability
(Sciendo, 2024) Ciocîrlan, Cecilia; Stancea, Andreea; Plăcintă, Dimitrie-Daniel
On sovereign credit default swaps markets, contagion serves as a sobering reminder of the interconnectedness of global financial systems. Like ripples in a pond, the impact of sovereign default or downgrades can cascade across borders, highlighting the intricate web of dependencies among nations. Utilizing sovereign CDS spreads between 2006-2020 on local European markets, the study employs an event study methodology to assess the effects of rating changes on CDS spreads, focusing on negative events such as sovereign rating downgrades. The findings reveal that negative events have a greater impact on the CDS market than positive events, abnormal returns are higher during economic crises, and states with public debt exceeding the Maastricht criteria experience higher abnormal returns. These results suggest that investors are sensitive to adverse news and risk factors, see opportunities for profit during economic turmoil, and closely monitor fiscal sustainability metrics. Understanding and managing contagion risk in these markets requires not only vigilance but also cooperation and coordination among policymakers and market participants.
Keep the (social) distance! : turnout and risk perception during health crisis
(Springer Nature, 2024) Stancea, Andreea; Muntean, Aurelian
This article investigates the relationship between risk perception and electoral participation of citizens. To assess this, we use the case study of the novel coronavirus and its relationship with voter turnout during the 2020 Romanian elections. We assess the relationship between COVID-19 and citizens’ intention to cast a vote by employing an individual model. Additionally, using the share rate of the infected population with COVID-19, we examine the association between the intensity of the outbreak across counties and electoral participation. Either though our research is cross-sectional and focuses on covariation rather than causal relationships, provides insightful results. The individual model shows that the higher the risk perception of infection is, the lower the intention to cast a vote. The aggregated exploratory model employed shows that an increase in the percentage of the shared infected population decreases the chance of electoral participation.
Memes and Their Role in the 2019 Romanian Presidential Elections: An Exploratory Analysis
(College of Communication and Public Relations of the National University of Political Studies and Public Administration, 2025) Stancea, Andreea; Călin, Iulia; Ciocîrlan, Cecilia
This article explores the influence of memes on political discourse and public opinion during the 2019 Romanian presidential elections. Focusing on memes related to candidates Klaus Iohannis and Viorica D & atilde;ncil & atilde;, the article highlights the dual role of memes: as entertainment and as tools for framing political narratives in a biased manner. Employing content analysis, the article offers a view over the types of memes that emerged during the 2019 Romanian presidential elections, emphasizing the representation of the two front-runner candidates: Klaus Iohannis and Viorica D & atilde;ncil & atilde;. Generally, memes of both candidates were negative in tone with Iohannis more likely to be framed in terms of his funny and humorous situations and D & atilde;ncil & atilde; in terms of her low intellectual qualities. The article calls for further exploration into the strategic use of memes in politics, aiming to grasp their impact on shaping public perceptions and narratives in the upcoming 2024 elections.